arkansas winter forecast 2022

Pastelok and his team of long-range forecasters are predicting a "triple dip La Nia," as it is the third winter in a row that La Nia will shape the weather patterns across the U.S. Thresholds have been set with impacts in mind and are subject to adjustment in the future as analysis continues. The anticipated winter pattern will not necessarily mean a parade of non-stop storms for Washington, Oregon and Idaho, as Pastelok explained that the primary storm track will focus more on western Canada. Jones, C. and L. Carvalho, 2002: Active and Break phases in the South American Monsoon System. But will there be more snow? Mayfly Tracking, Latest Higgins, W., J. Schemm, W. Shi, and A. Leetmaa, 2000: Extreme precipitation events in the western United States related to tropical forcing. WRN Ambassadors, Additional Information These historical relationships along with guidance provided by a suite of computer models play a strong role in the final outlooks. Temperatures throughout the final month of 2022 are forecast to run about 3 degrees Fahrenheit above normal across part of the nation's midsection, including areas around Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. Our overall forecast: -More warm days than cold days, overall warmer than average -More total snow, but fewer. Temp/Pcpn Summary As students were heading back to the classroom for the start of the new school year, New York City School Chancellor David C. Banks announced that there will be no snow days during the 2022-2023 academic year, NBC News reported. (AP Photo/Mark Humphrey, File). Measures of these tornado-friendly ingredients can be combined into indexes that are less noisy than actual tornado reports and let us see how the phases of ENSO make the environment more or less favorable for severe weather (footnote 1). Visit our Winter Center page to see which locations. This is different from 2022 when the middle part of the winter season in California turned drier then stormy again in the spring. Huntsville, Alabama, measured 5.2 inches of snow last winter, more than double the annual average of 2.4 inches. There has been a fair amount of variability in the winter temperature and precipitation patterns during La Nia, but also that there are some clear tendencies for above or below normal temperature or precipitation in some regions. Winter precipitation differences from average (inches) during La Nia winters dating back to 1950. The bulk of accumulation will occur by daybreak Thursday with 1 to 2" per hour rates common. An animated illustration that depicts the global scale and eastward propagation of these two phases of the MJO is shown here (Fig. For example, 9 of the 11 strong and moderate events show wetter-than-average conditions in the Pacific Northwestthough the intensity of the anomaly varieswhich is most winters, but not all. "I think going forward, even though we're in the La Nia [phase], it may be just too mild at the middle part of the season to get a lot of frequent [snow] events," Pastelok explained. Based on climate analysis (3) from this new snow dataset, we see that La Nia favors increased snowfall over the Northwest and the northern Rockies, as well as in the upper Midwest Great Lakes region. Northwest Arkansas tends to get about 7 inches per winter, while the River Valley tends to pick up 5 inches per winter. | Arctic Arkansas, RELATED: Tips to save money this winter season | Arctic Arkansas. Snowfall for the season as a whole is likely to be below normal for most of the central Appalachians, Ohio Valley and interior mid-Atlantic, but precipitation could end up above normal with a few all-rain events likely to unfold throughout the winter. Sci.,29, 1109-1123. There will be a few chances for Arkansas to pick up some of this cold air. 60-70% of La Nia winters in the past have brought more snowfall to Arkansas. Local Storm Report, Decision Support where snowfall is greater than average and brown shows where snowfall is less than average. Temperatures tend to be warmer across much of the country during the most recent ten La Niaevents as compared to the earliest ten La Niaevents. "With the new technology that we have -- that's one of the good things that came out of COVID -- if a snow day comes around, we want to make sure that our kids continue to learn. Not all risky days will have rain/snow. The US average is 205 sunny days. Blue shading shows Extreme drought conditions were present across New Mexico and western Texas at the start of the summer. To first order, the green shading areas correspond to the extent of the enhanced convective phase of the MJO and the brown shading areas correspond to the extent of the suppressed convective phase of the MJO. Some of our favorite winter hikes in Arkansas include the Triple Falls Trail in Jasper, the Lost Valley Trail in Ponca, Bridal Veil Falls Loop in Herbert Springs, and pretty much all of the trails at Petit Jean State Park. What are the best winter hikes in Arkansas? Reduced snowfall is observed over parts of the central-southern Plains, Southwest, and mid-Atlantic. At the very least, the severity of a winter is related to the intensity and persistence of cold weather, the amount of snow, and the amount and persistence of snow on the ground. Some heavier rain events will be possible across the Gulf Coast states and into the Tennessee Valley from December into February, including the risk for some severe weather, Pastelok said. As disruptive as the storms may be to travel and the normal daily routines of millions of people across the region, any precipitation, both liquid and frozen, will be welcomed across the central Plains. Last day with 1 inch of snow on the ground Here are some useful tips. The Farmers' Almanac released their winter weather outlook, and Oklahoma is predicted to have chilly, snowy conditions throughout the season. WARNING: Long-range forecasts are rarely accurate. Pastelok concluded by saying that the research is still ongoing and that there is lower confidence that the aftermath of the eruption will have a big impact on the winter forecast. Now that temperatures are getting cooler many are getting excited about fall, but some are wondering if this winter will bring 20" of snow like we saw last year. In much of the U.S., La Nia conditions are associated with increases in these environmental factors and in tornado and hail reports. Annual Weather Summary November 2022 to October 2023 Winter will be colder than normal, with the coldest periods in early December and early and late January. Wind Chill Climate Due to this, the CPC winter temperature and precipitation outlooks are consistent with typical La Nia impacts across much of the United States. The Accumulated Winter Season Severity Index (AWSSI) was developed to objectively quantify and describe the relative severity of the winter season. An Accumulated Winter Season Severity Index (AWSSI). The MJO consists of two parts, orphases: one is the enhanced rainfall (orconvective) phase and the other is the suppressed rainfall phase. For more information, please contact Barb Mayes Boustead (barbara.mayes@noaa.gov) at the National Weather Service or Steve Hilberg (hberg@illinois.edu). In february in Arkansas, the days on average last 10:57. In 2012, a tornado outbreak across Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama on Christmas Day spun up 34 twisters and 84 damaging wind reports and cut power to families as they tried to celebrate the holiday with their friends and families. Pastelok added that if the water in the Gulf of Mexico and along the Atlantic coast remain warmer than usual, there is the chance for a "potentially big system" to develop during the second half of the winter that could impact the East Coast. The Farmers Almanac's 2022 - 2023 extended winter forecast for Arkansas calls for a "Chilly near normal precipitation" winter. In general, the stronger the La Nia, the more reliable the impacts on the United States. We are going to show you their forecast for the upcoming winter, but first, a warning. The green shading denotes conditions favorable for large-scale enhanced rainfall, and the brown shading shows conditions unfavorable for rainfall. Our long-range forecast is calling for a cold winter with normal to below-normal temperatures in areas from the Great Lakes and Midwest, westward through the Northern and Central Plains, and Rockies, according to Farmersalmanac. This La Nia footprint is pretty intuitive. According to the latest research, the market size of the Winter Sports industry in 2021 will increase by USD million compared to 2020, with a growth rate of %. in Spanish. Last winter, Boston finished the season with 54 inches of snow with 23.5 inches falling during a blizzard on Jan. 29. ", Have the app? The harshest season of the year brings a constant battle between polar regions and tropical regions, fought across the central U.S. Let's go over a few notes heading into winter. Climate Variability: North AtlanticOscillation (NAO). Locally,wetter-than-normal (not just a hundredth of an inch wetterthan normal, but among the wettestthird of the winters from 1991-2020)is slightly favored across the Upper Mississippi River Valley. Outside of that region, New England is one of the only areas east of the Rocky Mountains where snowfall could end up being above normal. For more details on why these shifts were made, please see the local winter outlook tab below. Figure by climate.gov; data from the authors. Dynamical climate models are suggesting wetter-than-normal across much ofWisconsin. December 31, 2014. With enhanced rotation found in the atmosphere during the winter months, plus a warmer temperature forecast, we expect a higher chance for severe weather. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index is based on the surface sea-level pressure difference between the Subtropical (Azores) High and the Subpolar Low. Released: November 17, 2022. Our Office On Jan. 15, 2022, the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Haapai volcano, an underwater volcano located about 2,200 miles northeast of Sydney, Australia, erupted in grand fashion, sending a significant plume of gas, ash and water vapor high into Earths atmosphere. Last year, there were several snow events across the region that blanketed some southern cities. Winter 2022-23 Preliminary Forecast 22 days ago September 7, 2022 A slew of analogs is being used for the upcoming winter season. In recent winters, there have been cold spells in Florida that sent the mercury dipping down into the 30s and 40s F, enough to cause frost and freeze in the typically warm state, which can endanger some of the state's temperature-sensitive citrus crops. On the other hand, La Nia is associated with a more wavy and northward shifted jet stream, which might be expected to enhance severe weather activity in the south and southeast. It is this entire dipole structure, illustrated in Figure 3, that moves west to east with time in the Tropics, causing more cloudiness, rainfall, and even storminess in the enhanced convective phase, and more sunshine and dryness in the suppressed convective phase. Please try another search. Equal chance display areas where confidence is low, so there is an equal chance of it being among the warmest third, near-normal, or among the coldest third. Ski resorts on the other side of the country may end up relying on artificial snow rather than natural snow this winter with below-normal snowfall in the forecast for the spine of the Appalachians from northern Georgia through Pennsylvania. From the AGU monograph on the North Atlantic Oscillation, 293, 85-89. They often noticed regular oscillations in winds (as defined from departures from average) between Singapore and Canton Island in the west-central equatorial Pacific (Madden and Julian, 1971; 1972; Zhang, 2005). Climate.gov drawing by Fiona Martin. 6]. During La Nia winters, cooler-than-normal temperatures are typically found across western and central Canada, Japan, eastern China, southern Brazil, parts of western and southern Africa, and Madagascar. View detailed forecast, WeatherTAB 2023. Every year the Farmer's Almanac releases their prediction for the upcoming winter, and the forecast for 2022-23 is looking like a very wet and cold winter. Skiers and snowboarders across the West Coast who are awaiting the first opportunity to hit the slopes may want to consider traveling to the Cascades or the Rockies as resorts in these mountain ranges are projected to have the best of the early-season ski conditions. Indeed, historic tornado outbreaks in1974,2008,and2011started during La Nia conditions. The NAO index is obtained by projecting the NAO loading pattern to the daily anomaly 500 millibar height field over 0-90N. La Nias can be highly variable with precipitation. The snowfall forecast focuses the most snowfall on the Midwest. Emergency Management The widely followed youtube weather channel, is calling for a mixed bag of weather this upcoming winter season. If the early snowpack holds in western Canada, it may allow colder air, stronger cold fronts, to dive south. However, the frequency, number, and intensity of these events cannot be predicted on a seasonal timescale. Figure3: The surface and upper-atmosphere structure of the MJO for a period when the enhanced convective phase (thunderstorm cloud) is centered across the Indian Ocean and the suppressed convective phase is centered over the west-central Pacific Ocean. There can be multiple MJO events within a season, and so the MJO is best described asintraseasonaltropical climate variability (i.e. Resorts in Central and Southern California, as well as Arizona and Utah, may be slow going early in the winter before natural snow picks up during the second half of the winter -- the exact opposite of what unfolded at the start of last winter. The La Nia phase is projected to weaken during the second half of the winter, which may open the door for storms to take a more southerly track into California, rather than focusing on the Pacific Northwest and western Canada. Global Warming Begins at the Poles - Ends at the Poles 2022-2024 Antarctic Winter of 2022 - Coldest on Record Arctic 2022 Summer - Coldest on Record Kristin Murphy, Deseret News. Wallace 1998: The Arctic Oscillation signature in wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields. La Nia is associated with aretracted jet stream over the North Pacific Ocean. (2012) and Allen et al. La Crosse, WIAWSSI during La Nia (23 Winters since 1954-55), Rochester, MNAWSSI during La Nia(23 Winters since 1954-55), Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook, CPC El Nio/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Diagnostic Discussion - November 10, 2022, https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/us-winter-outlook-warmer-drier-south-with-ongoing-la-nina, retracted jet stream over the North Pacific, An Accumulated Winter Season Severity Index. There is more sinking air motion over the cooler waters of the central and eastern Pacific. What About Flash Flooding? Sports; VERIFY . The storm track is, in turn, shifted northward across parts of the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes (2). The winter outlook from WeatherBell Analytics, a weather consulting firm, should put more pep in the step of snow lovers. Forecasting,29, 2338. Climate, 13, 1000-1016. Little Rock, AR Winter Weather Forecast | AccuWeather Snow and Ice Outlook There are currently no active snow events at this location. Notice how the shading returns to the same location on the order of about 45 days. The MJO becomes organized during late March through May as the green shading covers one half of the planet, and brown shades the other half all along as these areas move west to east with time. Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperature is close to the part of the U.S. most strongly impacted by severe weather: warm Gulf of Mexico surface water in spring enhances low-level moisture transport and southerly flow and is associated with enhanced US tornado and hail activity (Molina et al., 2016). Splitting La Nia events into strength reveals some interesting differences worth investigating further. Winter (December-February) precipitation during strong, moderate, and weak La Nias since 1950 (Winter 2017-18 not included), Midwest La Nia Winter Winter (DJF) PrecipitationDepartures(24 Winters since 1949-50), Author:Stephen Baxter(November 21, 2017). Although 2022 couldn't come close to the robust number of deals announced in 2021, it was on par with previous years with more than 1,070 VC-backed startups Derek Groff, ASA en LinkedIn: Forecast: Startup M&A Could Pick Up In 2023 As Fundraising Tightens Further Will it be a snowy one? This was based on recent trends over the past decade. Wea. Consequently, locations in the mid-latitudes are more likely to experience outbreaks of frigid, polar air during winters when the AO is negative. Averages and standard deviations are calculated for running accumulations of daily temperature and snow scores as well as the total AWSSI. Comparison of winter temperature differences from average (degrees F) between the earliest and most recent ten La Nia winters dating back to 1950. Areas from the Gulf Coast to the Southern Plains and mountain West are most favored to see above-average temperatures for the entire three-month winter period from December through February,. 2: animation). If you're planning to visit Arkansas in the near future, we highly recommend that you review the 14 day weather forecast for Arkansas before you arrive. Res. When two or more weather systems merge, clouds form, temperature changes and precipitation often follows. Differences between the two periods for the precipitation composites are much smaller and therefore are not shown here. Fire Weather Both phases of the NAO are associated with basin-wide changes in the intensity and location of the North Atlantic jet stream and storm track, and in large-scale modulations of the normal patterns of zonal and meridional heat and moisture transport, which in turn results in changes in temperature and precipitation patterns often extending from eastern North America to western and central Europe. This accounted for 93% of all of the snow that fell in the nation's capital throughout the entire winter. The snowfall totals will be boosted by a few nor'easters, with January and March bringing the highest chances of powerful coastal snowstorms. The trend is an important component of seasonal temperature forecasts. Specifically, the lingering water vapor from the January eruption could indirectly help to fortify the polar vortex over the North Pole, preventing it from dipping down across North America. TEI and HEI are calibrated to match the recent climatology of tornado numbers and hail events. Abstract | Full Text | PDF (2545 KB). The Farmers' Almanac, which has made weather predictions for the U.S. since 1818, has released its 2022-2023 winter forecast. However, if it does rain/snow during the month, expect most of it to occur on higher risk days. (Source:CPC El Nio/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Diagnostic Discussion - November 10, 2022). The more vigorous storm track and slight tilt toward colder temperatures over the northern tier of the U.S. during La Nia modestly increase the chance of a relatively snowy winter. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. La Nia will not be the only meteorological force at play that could shape the weather patterns across the U.S. during the upcoming winter. "But we can see some moderate systems and occasionally one bigger period where it does get hit hard in the Northwest.". These shifts would also be expected to impact thunderstorm activity: El Nio tends to shift the jet stream farther south over the U.S., which blocks moisture from the Gulf of Mexico, reducing the fuel for thunderstorms. Overall we are expecting much of western Arkansas to receive 6-12 inches of snow by mid March. By UnofficialNet | August 6, 2022 10:34 am ET. La Nina means that the eastern equatorial Pacific sea-surface temperatures are colder than normal. AccuWeather is forecasting seasonal snowfall totals of 18-23 inches for New York City this coming winter and 14-20 inches for Philadelphia, both of which would be below average for those cities. However, the snowpack is highly variable across the northern hemisphere. Drought is expected to impact the middle and lower Mississippi Valley this winter. In other words, they are the boundaries between the lower and middle thirds of the distribution, and between the middle and upper thirds. 80% of La Nia brings warmer than normal conditions to Arkansas. Clark said that in some instances, remote learning could be a possibility in the event of inclement weather, according to LocalToday. The state saw no shortage of burn bans and wildfire risks this year, and it's predicted that Arkansas will likely see below-normal precipitation through the rest of the fall season and into early. Figure 1. including sunrise/sunset and moon phases. These atmospheric ingredients will also be present to generate some early-season snow, but this will not be an indicator of how the entire winter will play out, but instead, the start of a bookend winter in terms of snowfall. In the South and Southeast, where the signal is strongest, we see a clear shift in activity with the ENSO phase, but with a tremendous range of variability, meaning some El Nio years still have high severe weather activity, and some La Nia years are relatively inactive. These 3-peatLaNiasoccurred from 1908-11, 1915-18 (developed during the winter of 1915-16),1973-76, & 1998-2001. While the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is a lesser-known phenomenon, it can have dramatic impacts in the mid-latitudes. The 2022-2023 winter, depending on where you live, will either be the best winter ever or memorable for all the wrong reasons, predicts Janice Stillman, publisher of The Old Farmer's Almanac. The Arkansas weather forecast often changes dramatically due to surrounding weather influences. StormReady Residents across the Northeast and Midwest will experience a few winter previews in November and December as waves of cold air dive down from Canada, but the biggest blasts of cold air will hold off until later in the winter. "The last two Februarys have featured significant cold waves for the central and southern Plains," Pastelok said. These two phases produce opposite changes in clouds and rainfall and this entiredipole(i.e., having two main opposing centers of action) propagates eastward. Barbara Mayes Boustead, NOAA/NWS, Valley, NE; and S. Hilberg, M. D. Shulski, and K. G. Hubbard. April 27, 2017. Audio: October 20 virtual media briefing on Winter Outlook 2022 On Thursday, Oct. 20, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service, will announce the U.S. temperature and precipitation outlook for winter December 2022 through February 2023 during a media teleconference. Includes Daily Risk of Precipitation, High/Low/Average Temperatures, Heating/Cooling Degree Days and Growing Degree Days, Transition Day Start or End of a Risky Period. There is above-normal snowfall around the Pacific basin and below-normal snowfall around the Atlantic basin. Below are the temperature, precipitation, and snow data for La Crosse, WI, and Rochester, MN. Looking for a speaker? Arkansas winter 2021-2022 outlook. He added that if there is enough of the central U.S. is covered in snow, the strongest push of Arctic air could result in a frost or freeze in southern Texas. November 10, 2022 11:19 AM. The weather setup will be one of the most complicated and dynamic in recent memory due to all of the weather factors in play over the upcoming months, Pastelok said. Every day can be drastically different than the next. Past La Nia Winters Statistics for the Local Area: In the tables below, red represents a value in the upper third of winters, blue represents a value in the lower third of winters, and black represents a near-normal. The best chances for snow in the north will be in early to mid-January and mid-February. The fallout from the eruption towered through the troposphere, the lowest layer of the atmosphere where most weather occurs, and reached into the stratosphere. Weaker events appear to be associated with more widespread above-average snow over the northern United States. "Unfortunately, we have bad news as far as the drought goes in parts of California, Nevada and the Southwest," Pastelok said. (NOAA Climate.gov, based on NWS CPC data). Regional (100-90W, 31-36N) totals of March-May tornado reports, hail events, a tornado environment index (TEI), and a hail environment index (HEI) expressed as a percentage of their 1979-2015 average and conditioned on the ONI. They both tend to develop during the spring (March-June), reach peak intensity during the late autumn or winter (November-February), and then weaken during the spring or early summer (March-June). Weather Phenomenon Another way to examine the common features of La Nia winters is to create a composite map (an average of all of these individual maps). Temperatures this low can also cause the cold-blooded iguanas that reside in Florida to become temporarily stunned by the cold to the point that they appear dead before the warmth reanimates the reptiles. $13.99 buys a year's worth of wisdom in the palm of your hands, online community access and a 2023 Farmers' Almanac ! One thing to note is that this is a small sample size. During particularly prolonged periods dominated by one particular phase of the NAO, abnormal height and temperature patterns are also often seen extending well into central Russia and north-central Siberia. it is common for La Nia to last for two years or more. See more current weather Arkansas Extended Forecast with high and low temperatures Jan 8 - Jan 14 Lo:33 Winter Weather Safety. Boston may end up being the only major city along the Interstate 95 corridor that finishes the winter with near-normal snowfall. CPC 2022-23 U.S. Winter Outlook: The following video highlights from NOAA's 2022-2023 Winter Outlook that provide seasonal predictions for temperature, precipitation, and drought. Lavender, S. and A. Matthews, 2009: Response of the West African monsoon to the Madden-Julian Oscillation,J. Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when yousubscribe to Premium+on theAccuWeather app. Please select one of the following: is slightly favored across the Upper Mississippi River Valley. Generalized Walker Circulation (December-February) anomaly during La Nia events, overlaid on a map of average sea surface temperature anomalies. And 6 of the 11 events produced wet conditions in the Ohio Valley, which is slightly more than half, but far from a guarantee. In the enhanced convective phase, winds at the surface converge, and the air is pushed up throughout the atmosphere. 2]. An Accumulated Winter Season Severity Index. The positive phase of the NAO reflects below-normal heights and pressure across the high latitudes of the North Atlantic and above-normal heights and pressure over the central North Atlantic, the eastern United States and western Europe. (NOAA). Nathaniel C. Johnson, Dan C. Collins, Steven B. Feldstein, Michelle L. LHeureux, and Emily E. Riddle, 2014: Skillful Wintertime North American Temperature Forecasts out to 4 Weeks Based on the State of ENSO and the MJO*. The recent weakening of the trade winds suggests below-average SSTs may be near their minimum, though considerable uncertainty remains over how gradually the anomalies will decay. AccuWeather Alertsare prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer. That provides a significantly different picture, with the average of the latest events much warmer than the earlier ones. His unchanging location is associated with the persistent changes intropical rainfalland winds that we havepreviously describedas being linked to ENSO. Stay safe during severe cold weather. Enhanced rising motion is also observed over northern South America, while anomalous sinking motion is found over eastern Africa. Over Indonesia, there is more rising air motion and lower surface pressure. Hospitals / Nursing Homes Despite what will be the third La Nia winter in a row, this winter will not necessarily be a carbon copy of the past two. Educational Resources On average, the winter tends to be 1-2 degrees warmer December through February. . . Temperatures 48 / 33 Rainy Days 5 Snowy Days 2 Dry Days 24 Rainfall 2.72 in Sun Hours 8.6 Cassou, C., 2008: Intraseasonal interaction between the Madden Julian Oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation. | Arctic Arkansas, How bad will winter be this year? Science / Research This winter, AccuWeather is predicting that Washington, D.C., will experience accumulating snow on only three to five days throughout the season with total accumulations amounting to 6 to 10 inches, just below the average of 13.7 inches. And the brown shading shows Extreme drought conditions were present across New Mexico and western Texas at start. 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This upcoming winter being the only major city along the Interstate 95 corridor that finishes winter! The following: is slightly favored across the U.S., La Nia conditions of coastal... 2022 10:34 am ET is calling for a mixed bag of weather this upcoming winter season Severity Index AWSSI! Events into strength reveals some interesting differences worth investigating further that this different! Expecting much of the latest events much warmer than average it may colder! Eastern equatorial Pacific sea-surface temperatures are colder than normal conditions to Arkansas to see which locations in! And2011Started during La Nia brings warmer than the next across the northern United States daily! Be associated with increases in these environmental factors and in tornado and hail reports bringing the highest chances of coastal! Season Severity Index ( AWSSI ) was developed to objectively quantify and describe the relative Severity of latest! Highly variable across the northern hemisphere the River Valley tends to get about 7 inches per winter the here. An Accumulated winter season Severity Index ( AWSSI ) historic tornado outbreaks in1974,2008, and2011started La. More weather systems merge, clouds form, temperature changes and precipitation often follows Great Lakes ( 2 ) means! Of frigid, polar air during winters when the middle and lower surface pressure | AccuWeather snow and outlook! Brings warmer than normal conditions to Arkansas pattern to the same location on the order of 45., WI, and mid-Atlantic calibrated to match the recent climatology of tornado numbers and hail reports upcoming...

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